Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend finest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Test again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that can assist you money a number of bets and make some cash.
Noel’s picks have been featured nearly in all places horse racing picks will be discovered, together with in print within the Every day Racing Kind, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Additional, NYRA’s SatuTalking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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One of many fall racing season’s headline days yearly is Clark Stakes Day at Churchill Downs on the day after Thanksgiving, and this 12 months is not any exception. Churchill Downs is internet hosting a particular 12-race Friday card that includes the Grade 2 Clark Stakes Introduced by Norton Healthcare with the supporting function, the Grade 2 Mrs. Revere Stakes, topping the undercard. Whereas the lots deal with discovering Black Friday purchasing offers, let’s store for good costs on winners and exotics in these two stakes races. A win or two may considerably increase your shopping for energy this vacation season. Better of luck and benefit from the races.
Friday, Nov. 29
Churchill Downs, Race 10, $300,000 Mrs. Revere Stakes, submit time 5:18 p.m. ET
The Grade 2 Mrs. Revere Stakes has drawn a full discipline of 3-year-old fillies set to go 1 1/16 miles on the turf and it’s an attention-grabbing handicapping puzzle as a result of you need to examine horses coming from numerous totally different class ranges and distances of their current races. You may make a legit case for a minimum of half of the fillies within the beginning gate, however the preponderance of the proof factors to #6 Pin Up Betty because the horse to beat. Pin Up Betty by no means threatened final time within the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Problem Cup Stakes Introduced by Dixiana however overcame some site visitors and completed a stable fourth in that a lot more durable spot. She simply missed by a head when second within the Grade 3 Pucker Up Stakes at Ellis Park this summer season and raised her report to 2-for-2 over this course again in June when she gained the Grade 3 Remorse Stakes at a degree just like this one. The massive query for Pin Up Betty is that if the 1 1/16 miles on this race is simply too brief for her, nevertheless it may end up excellent if she establishes a perfect tempo spot proper in behind what could possibly be a contested tempo between #3 Kehoe Seaside and #4 Pharoah’s Wine. #12 Poolside With Slim exits a win within the Grade 2 Financial institution of America Valley View Stakes at Keeneland the place she beat three of those similar rivals with a superb effort. She’s drawn manner out within the parking zone from submit 12, however most of the horses on this discipline have completely no pace and she or he ought to be capable to set up respectable early place which might give her a good likelihood at a repeat. The opposite main win contender on this race is the aforementioned Kehoe Seaside, who has been in large kind in back-to-back wire-to-wire allowance romps. If Pharoah’s Wine doesn’t run together with her early, she may once more shake free up entrance and deal with the step in school vs. stakes firm.
The Play: Guess on #6 Pin Up Betty (5-1) to win and play her in exacta and trifecta containers with #3 Kehoe Seaside (3-1) and #12 Poolside With Slim (6-1).
Churchill Downs, Race 11, $600,000 Clark Stakes Introduced by Norton Healthcare, submit time 5:48 p.m. ET
The headline race of Thanksgiving weekend is the Grade 2 Clark Stakes, which has drawn 10 3-year-olds and up set to go 1 1/8 miles on the primary observe. The sphere for this race accommodates a bunch of stone closers which offers an important alternative for #9 Cooke Creek to get to the entrance and go wire-to-wire. He exits a runner-up end within the Grade 2 Lukas Traditional Stakes, the place he obtained nipped by a neck within the late phases to finish a three-race successful streak. He could make amends within the Clark. If not, the most probably winner can be #6 Hit Present, the horse that caught Cooke Creek to win the Lukas Traditional and has since gained Keeneland’s Grade 2 Hagyard Fayette Stakes so as to add to his spectacular ledger for the 12 months 2024 (4 wins in 5 begins). Hit Present should come from off the tempo, however he’ll get the soar on different deeper closers on this discipline like #7 Rattle N Roll and #8 Crimson Route One who can be racing even additional behind. There’s additionally an attention-grabbing 3-year-old entered on this race that’s seeking to shake issues up a bit, as #5 Most Wished is dealing with older horses for the primary time in his profession. Most Wished has racked-up an ideal 4-for-4 report to date together with wins within the Grade 3 Oklahoma Derby and the $260,000 Ellis Park Derby for coach Brad Cox, and he could possibly be prepared for this more durable activity. At very least he ought to hold Cooke Creek firm up entrance, which offers a glimmer of hope for all of the aforementioned closers on this race.
The Play: Guess #9 Cooke Creek (6-1) to win and play him in exacta and trifecta containers with #5 Most Wished (7-2) and #6 Hit Present (3-1).