Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend greatest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Verify again each week for a few highlighted choices designed that will help you money a number of bets and make some cash.
Noel’s choices have been featured nearly in all places horse racing picks might be discovered, together with in print within the Each day Racing Type, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Further, NYRA’s SatuTalking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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The Keeneland fall meet is in full swing and this Saturday will characteristic a headline 10-race card of top-notch racing and wagering that’s typical of the autumn season’s premier race meet. For this weekend’s winners, let’s deal with the 2 graded stakes races on Keeneland’s Saturday card, the Grade 3 Perryville Stakes and the Grade 2 Lexus Raven Run Stakes. Each races characteristic huge fields and shall be enjoyable to look at for bettors and racing followers alike. Get pleasure from your weekend, and better of luck at Keeneland.
Saturday, Oct. 19
Keeneland Race Course, Race 7, $300,000 Perryville Stakes, put up time 4:12 p.m. ET
The Grade 3 Perryville Stakes will characteristic a full area of colts and geldings that shall be competing for a $300,000 purse on the Keeneland fundamental observe. This shall be a highlight race, partly, as a result of it can mark the return to the races of a pair of high-profile horses which have been absent for all or a part of this 12 months – however whereas the presence of these horses will elevate curiosity on this race, these horses might not be the horses to beat this Saturday. Notable within the area shall be #10 Locked, who was final seen ending third in final fall’s FanDuel Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Introduced by TAA after his Grade 1 win right here at Keeneland within the 2023 Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity, and in addition #3 Knightsbridge, who was extraordinarily promising in two profession begins till going to the sidelines following a win at Gulfstream Park again on March 28. These horses seem like so gifted that they may simply win this race based mostly on their spectacular skills, however they received’t be good bets on this Grade 3 dash spot of their first races again from lengthy layoffs. #12 Epic Trip, who was third within the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes earlier this 12 months, additionally falls into this class. These horses’ greatest efforts could possibly be forthcoming in subsequent outings if not on Saturday. When it comes to betting the Perryville, #5 Guide’em Danno is a reputable best choice. Guide’em Danno has been a dash/middle-distance monster all 12 months lengthy who boasts three straight triple-digit Beyer Velocity Figures coming into this race and owns a Grade 1 win three races in the past within the Woody Stephens Stakes Introduced by Mohegan Solar at seven furlongs at Saratoga. A good selection for the exacta is #1 Henro, who is just not solely the winner of this 12 months’s $250,000 Iowa Derby but in addition the winner of Churchill Downs’ $295,000 Harrod’s Creek Stakes at this seven-furlong distance in his final begin. Lastly, out of the aforementioned trio of stars getting back from layoffs, the perfect wager by way of right now’s race is Knightsbridge, whose two wins got here by a mixed complete of 19 ½ lengths in races at seven furlongs and one mile.
The Play: Guess on #5 Guide’em Danno (2-1) to win and play him in exacta and trifecta containers with #1 Henro (12-1) and #3 Knightsbridge (3-1).
Keeneland Race Course, Race 9, $350,000 Lexus Raven Run Stakes, put up time 5:16 p.m. ET
The Grade 2 Raven Run is the 3-year-old filly counterpart of the Perryville to be run at seven furlongs with a area of 10. The favourite and horse to beat is #5 Emery, who’s sufficient of a standout that she could have scared a number of the different prime challengers within the division away from this race. Emery exits a runner-up end in Saratoga’s Grade 1 Take a look at Stakes when overwhelmed solely by repeat next-out winner Methods and Means. That race ended Emery’s three race profitable streak in races starting from six furlongs to seven furlongs that included a $170,000 stakes win at Churchill Downs and a win within the Grade 3 Victory Trip Stakes at Saratoga for coach Brad Cox. Emery ought to be capable of get again into the winner’s circle towards Saturday’s competitors as the favourite. For the exacta and trifecta, the logical horses seem like #3 My Mane Squeeze and #1 Fibber, who have been the 1-2 finishers of the seven-furlong, Grade 3 Fasig-Tipton Dogwood Stakes Sept. 21 at Churchill Downs.
The Play: Guess #5 Emery (7-5) to win and use her on prime within the exactas and trifectas above #1 Fibber (10-1) and #3 My Mane Squeeze (4-1).