Welcome to Noel Michaels’ Weekend Winners, the place to go for weekend greatest bets and spot performs from veteran handicapper and tournament-play pioneer Noel Michaels. Examine again each week for a few highlighted picks designed that will help you money a number of bets and make some cash.
Noel’s picks have been featured nearly all over the place horse racing picks will be discovered, together with in print within the Each day Racing Kind, The HorsePlayer Journal and American Turf Month-to-month, on-line at DRF.com, Twinspires.com and USRacing.com, from the paddock on-track at Arlington Worldwide Racecourse, and on the air on HRTV, TVG, NYC OTB Additional, NYRA’s SatuTalking Horses, and on broadcast TV on WAVE-3 Louisville, ABC KOLO-8 in Reno, Nevada, and channel 72 Lengthy Island Cablevision.
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The primary weekend after the Breeders’ Cup ushers within the fall season in racing and Aqueduct is prepared with a pointy 10-race Saturday card that features three stakes races. For this weekend’s winners, let’s flip our consideration to 2 of the stakes races on Aqueduct’s Saturday program going each lengthy and quick on the turf together with the Aqueduct Turf Dash Championship and the Grade 2 Pink Smith Stakes. A few winners in these two races ought to give us begin for a worthwhile weekend of racing and wagering. Better of luck.
Aqueduct, Race 8, $150,000 Aqueduct Turf Dash Championship, put up time 3:10 p.m. ET
The $150,000 Aqueduct Turf Dash Championship will function a full discipline of 10 plus also-eligibles able to race six furlongs on the outer turf course. It’s a high-quality, evenly-matched discipline that makes for betting race. The Aqueduct horse for the course within the bunch is #3 Twenty Six Black, who has received all three profession turf sprints on this turf course to this point and is 4-for-4 lifetime at six furlongs. This horse has completed within the exacta in eight of 10 outings and is exiting a win, so due to this fact it’s shocking to see him providing discount 8-1 odds on the morning line. He’s going up in school in opposition to stakes firm, however he seems able to deal with this harder project. The horse he should beat can be #9 Senbei, who’s exiting a win within the corresponding race at Belmont on the Huge A final month when he received the Grade 3 Belmont Turf Dash Stakes for the highest turf dash coach on the grounds, Christophe Clement. He additionally likes Aqueduct with a 2-for-2 file on this turf course, and he’ll be a handful if in a position to replicate his most up-to-date effort. The opposite primary contenders listed here are #5 Outlaw Child and #6 Alogon, and each benefit consideration in trifectas. Outlaw Child is a two-time stakes winner at Woodbine who additionally has favored the Aqueduct course up to now (two wins), and Alogon received the $100,000 Parx Sprint Stakes two races in the past and raced competitively when third behind Senbei within the Belmont Turf Dash final day trip.
The Play: Wager on #3 Twenty Six Black (8-1) to win and play him in an exacta with #9 Senbei (5-2). Then play a four-horse trifecta field with the 2 aforementioned horses plus #5 Outlaw Child (5-1) and #6 Alogon (9-2).
Aqueduct, Race 9, $300,000 Pink Smith Stakes, put up time 3:40 p.m. ET
The Grade 2 Pink Smith Stakes has drawn a discipline of 9 set to compete at 1 3/8 miles, which is three activates the Aqueduct internal turf course. Let’s follow the horse-for-the-course angle we employed within the Turf Dash Championship and apply it to the Pink Smith with #8 Grasp Piece, who’s the defending champion on this race from 2023 and likewise ran one in all his different greatest profession races on this turf course earlier this yr when he received the Grade 2 Fort Marcy Stakes. Grasp Piece comes into this spot in good kind primarily based on his third-place end by a size final time within the Grade 2 California Crown John Henry Turf Championship Introduced by 1/ST BET at Santa Anita Park. Anticipate him to step it up a notch even additional right here on his favourite course and get the victory. The second betting favourite on the morning line, #2 Integration, additionally makes plenty of sense. Integration received the Grade 2 2023 Hill Prince Stakes on this course as a 3-year-old and his spotlight of 2024 thus far was a runner-up end within the Grade 1 Arlington Million Stakes two races in the past.
The Play: Wager #8 Grasp Piece (5-2) to win and field him in exactas with #2 Integration (2-1).
