We’ve had higher LIVE Saturday ITV race days, however with the Cheltenham Pageant on the horizon then it’s no shock the standard is barely down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster present the LIVE ITV motion this week, and, as all the time, right here at GEEGEEZ we have all of the races coated from a developments and stats angle.
NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
3:15 – BetVictor Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 2 of Veterans´ Chase Collection) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV
14/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter13/15 – Received over at the very least 3m (chase)10/15 – Favourites unplaced8/15 – Aged 10 years-old8/15 – Carried 11-4 or extra in weight7/15 – Completed within the prime 3 of their final race3/15 – Received their final race1/15 – Profitable favourites (none within the final 9)6 of the final 10 winners carried 11st or lessTrainer David Dennis gained the race in 2022 and 2023Trainer David Pipe gained the race in 2015 and 2016Trainer Paul Nicholls gained the race in 2013 and 2017Sam Brown (100/30) gained this race in 2025The common profitable SP within the final 8 renewals is 15/2
3.45 – BetVictor Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV
19/21 – Carried 11-5 or much less in weight18/21 – Received by a horse aged 8 or younger18/21 – Had run throughout the final 6 weeks18/21 – Had gained between 1-4 instances over fences previously17/21 – Received over this journey (2m4f) beforehand (or additional)16/21 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously15/21 – Positioned within the prime 5 final time out14/21 – Profitable distance – 2 lengths or less13/21 – Formally rated 139 or higher12/21 – Favourites placed9/21 – Received by the Paul Nicholls steady (8 of the final 16)9/21 – Winners that got here from the highest 3 within the market9/21 – Received by a French-bred horse8/21 – Received by a horse aged 8 years-old8/21 – Received by an Irish-bred horse6/21 – Went onto run on the Cheltenham Pageant (no winners)5/21 – Favourites to win (1 joint)3/21 – Received by the Pipe yard2/21 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies2/21 – Received their final raceHeltenham gained this race in 2024The common profitable SP within the final 8 runnings is 8/1No profitable favorite within the final 8 runnings15 of the final 17 winners aged between 6-812 of the final 16 winners aged 7 or 8 (6 of the final 8)Word: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat
DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
1:25 – Virgin Guess A Good Guess Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV
11/12 – Ran within the final 7 weeks10/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old10/12- Returned 4/1 or shorter within the betting8/12– Completed 1st or 2nd final time out8/12 – Favourites positioned within the prime 28/12 – Irish bred5/12 – Received by the favorite (1 co-fav)6 of the final 10 winners aged 6 (4 of final 5)The common profitable SP within the final 9 runnings is 10/1
2:00 – Virgin Guess Helps Protected Playing Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV
14/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter10/14 – Aged between 6-8 years-old8/14 – Positioned 1st or 2nd final time out4/14 – Raced at Musselburgh final time out3/14 – Ridding by a claiming jockey3/14 – Skilled by Paul Nicholls2/14 – Skilled by Brian Ellison10 of the final 13 winners carried 10st 11lbs or moreThe final 10 winners returned 11/2 or shorter7 of the final 9 winners aged 6-9Just one profitable favorite (joint) within the final 9Brookie (11/2) gained this in 2025Homme Public (3/1) gained the race in 2024Calico (11/4 jfav) gained the race in 2023The common profitable SP within the final 9 runnings is 4/1
2:35 – Virgin Guess Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV
20/21 – Aged 8 or older20/21 – Received over at the very least 3m (fences) before17/21 – Received not more than 4 instances over fences17/21 – Ran throughout the final 8 weeks16/21 – Carried 10-13 or much less in weight16/21 – Aged 9 or older14/21 – Rated 132 or less12/21 – From the highest 3 within the betting12/21 – Priced 11/2 or shorter within the betting12/21 – Irish bred10/21 – Positioned within the prime 3 final time out9/21 – Raced over fences at Doncaster earlier than (4 winners)7/21 – Received their final race4/21 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand Nationwide (no winners)2/21 – Profitable FavouritesMoroder gained the race in 2023 and 2025 (Each ridden by James Greatest)Coach Kim Bailey has gained the race 3 instances (2 since 2016)The common wining SP within the final 9 runnings is 12/1Trainer Seamus Mullins is 3-4 (75%) along with his chasers on the observe – plus has gained 2 of the final 3Jockeys Ben Godfrey and Charlie Maggs each have 50% SR’s on the observe over fences
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KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
1:10 bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 2m1f ITV
Simply 2 earlier runningsTrainers Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 29% SR with their chasers on the trackTrainers Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore have a 27% SR with their chasers on the trackJockey Brian Hughes has a 24% SR using over fences at Kelso
1:40 – bet365 Premier Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m 7 1/2f) ITV
11/12 – Didn’t win final time out10/12 – Ran within the final 6 weeks10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter within the betting10/12 – Favourites positioned 1st or 2nd9/12 – Received between 1-3 instances over fences8/12 – Had run on the course before8/12 – Aged 9 or older8/12 – Irish bred8/12 – Received over 3m plus within the past7/12 – Positioned 4th or higher final time out5/12 – Rated between 132-141 (inc)4/12 – Received by jockey Brian Hughes (4 of the final 10)4/12 – Profitable favourites3/12 – Ran at Haydock final time out2/12 – Skilled by Sandy Thomson7 of the final 9 winners aged 8 or 9Trainer Dan Skelton has a 36% SR along with his chasers on the trackTrainers Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 29% SR with their chasers on the trackThe common profitable SP within the final 9 runnings is 11/2
2:15 – bet365 Premier Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV
16/17 – Aged 7 or younger16/17 – Favourites positioned within the prime three15/17 – Raced within the final 7 weeks15/17 – Positioned within the prime 4 final time out11/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter within the betting10/17 – Had gained at the very least twice over hurdles before10/17 – Received final time out8/17 – Ran within the final 4 weeks8/17 – Irish bred7/17 – Had raced at Kelso4/17 – Profitable favourite3/17– Ran at Musselburgh final time out3/17 – Skilled by Lucinda Russell8 of the final 10 winners aged 5 or 6 years-oldThe common profitable SP within the final 9 runnings is 11/2Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 33% file with their hurdlers on the observe
2:55 – bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap Hurdle) (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV
14/14 – Had run within the final 3 months12/14 – Received at the very least twice over hurdles before10/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter within the betting10/14 – Carried 11-2 or extra in weight9/14 – By no means run on the observe before8/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old8/14 – Irish bred6/14 – Rated between 138-1466/14 – Received final time out5/14 – Profitable favourites3/14 – Skilled by Nicky Henderson3/14– Ridden by Brian Hughes2/14 – Skilled by Nicky Richards2/14 – Skilled by Ewan WhillansCracking Rhapsody has gained the final 2 runnings (9/1 and 12/1)The common profitable SP within the final 9 runnings is 5/1
3:30 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV
Simply 5 earlier runnings5/5 – Aged 6-84/5 – Returned 9/2 or shorter within the betting4/5 – Carried 10-4 or much less (3 of final 4)3/5 – Ridden by a claiming jockey3/5 – Aged 6 years-old2/5 – Profitable favouritesBold Gentle (17/2) gained this race in 2025Serious Operator (7/2) gained the race in 2024Lucinda Russell has skilled the final 2 winnersPaul Nicholls skilled the winner in 2021 (Flash Collonges)Nicky Richards skilled the winner in 2022 (Well-known Bridge)Dan Skelton skilled the winner in 2023 (Santos Blue)Coach Fergal O’Brien has a 33% file with their hurdlers on the trackTrainers Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 38% SR with their chasers on the observe
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