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As we speak’s swimming pools
As we speak’s UK conferences, swimming pools and minimal ensures are as follows…
And we’re off to Scotland and a few good floor for our six races right now, beginning with…
Leg 1 : 1.40 Ayr, a 9-runner, Class 5, 3yo+ handicap over 1m…
None of those come right here in nice kind, however Yaaser and Gracious Chief did each win their penultimate races with the latter additionally third final day out. Each drop at school right here and the fast-finisher Gracious Chief wears a first-time tongue tie on his debut for George Boughey, whose horses are working nicely proper now. His horses additionally fare fairly nicely with 3lb claimer Tommie Jakes within the saddle and George has a very good document with horses making their yard debut after a transfer…
Yaaser received right here over course and distance on his penultimate run (the second run of his three races in three days right here final month!), while Tele Crimson received this race final yr off a mark a pound greater than right now. He received six races again and has truly been working higher than current outcomes may recommend. Elsewhere there’s little or no kind to go off, though Detective did win 4 begins in the past and City Sprawl has some helpful jockey and coach/jockey stats behind him for his run off a harmful career-low mark…
Instantaneous Knowledgeable additionally factors to (2) Yaaser and (5) Tele Crimson…
…so I am going to take each of them together with the afore-mentioned in-form yard debutant (7) Gracious Chief
Leg 2 : 2.15 Ayr, a 4-runner, Class 5, 2yo handicap over 6f…
Regardless of being 0 from 4, Weissmuller is the plain decide right here. He has been within the first three dwelling on two of his three UK begins and was 4th of 27 within the Listed Windsor Fortress Stakes at Ascot and is rated as extremely as 92 by the assessor. Nevertheless, third place will not be adequate for us right here right now, so I am going to additionally take Blue Pinatubo as a backup. He confirmed good early tempo on debut at Goodwood again in July and though he light late on, that is a neater activity down three courses.
Leg 3 : 2.50 Ayr, a 10-runner, Class 4, 3yo+ handicap over 1m2f…
A extremely open race right here with Soowaih of instant curiosity working off the identical mark as when solely denied by a neck at Hamilton eight days in the past having been caught very late on. The drop again in journey ought to assist him right here too. Prime weight Pol Roger is a former course and distance winner and though he was solely seventh of 11 right here over observe/journey final day out, that was his first time that he had did not make the body after two wins, 4 runner-up finishes and a 3rd place in seven runs and his C&D kind reads 112227.
Spirit of Acklam additionally drops two courses right here after a disappointing handicap debut at Newbury when final dwelling of 13, however this 3yo had received his two earlier outings, so it isn’t past the realms of prospects that he’ll resume the place he left off at Ripon again in April when successful by three lengths over right now’s journey, while one other who has been working nicely is Younger Hearth who’s displaying little signal of slowing down on the age of 9. He wasn’t at this finest on comfortable floor at Doncaster final day out, however received a 17-runner handicap at York on his earlier run for a second win in 4 begins and has seven top-three finishes from his final ten outings.
Pol Roger and Younger Hearth catch the attention from Instantaneous Knowledgeable…
…and with (1) Pol Roger additionally prone to set the tempo from stall 1, I’ve to take him right here…
I additionally wish to take (5) Soowaih based mostly on that final run and I’ve a marginal desire for (4) Younger Hearth over Spirit of Acklam, There’s in all probability not a lot in it, however Younger Hearth will in all probability supply extra worth within the markets.
Leg 4 : 3.25 Ayr, a 6-runner, Class 4, 3yo+ handicap over 7½f…
Wow, solely six run however it seems to be tremendous aggressive. Jenni received over course and distance ten days in the past only a week after being a runner-up at Musselburgh. She’s solely up 3lbs right here, so stays of curiosity. Danzan ran a extremely good race to complete third of twenty-seven within the Bronze Cup right here eleven days in the past and he now drops two courses. Redarna received this race in each 2020 and 2021, Abduction is a 3-time course and distance winner and Crimson Mirage received 5 begins in the past. Clasina is the one one but to win a race and now she steps up at school, so I might rule her out now.
I’ll take (4) Danzan and (5) Jenni on their current runs and it is actually a toss-up between the opposite three with (3) Crimson Mirage in all probability edging it on kind.
Leg 5 : 4.00 Ayr, a 9-runner, Class 6, 3yo+ handicap over 7½f…
In racecard order, (1) Novak, (2) Sir Garfield and (5) Alpine Sierra struck me as ones who may go nicely right here, particularly Sir Garfield whose final six handicap runs have seen him end 122282 and he runs off the identical mark as his C&D runner-up end final day out and it’s he and Alpine Sierra who make most sense right here from an Instantaneous Knowledgeable perspective…
Tempo is commonly the important thing right here over this observe/journey…
…however within the absence of any actual confirmed front-runners, I am hoping that class will rely, so I am sticking to my unique shortlist of (1) Novak, (2) Sir Garfield & (5) Alpine Sierra.
Leg 6 : 4.35 Ayr, a 9-runner, Class 4, 3yo+ handicap over 6f…
You would in all probability make a case for 5 – 6 of those. The 10yr previous veteran Muscika has been a runner-up in every of his final two begins and Act Of Violence was additionally a runner-up a fortnight in the past. Jonny Concrete has made the body in 4 of his final seven and was solely crushed by three lengths within the Bronze Cup right here and now drops two courses. Rousing Encore is not in the very best of kind proper now, however has dropped to a dangerously low mark of 78 having final received off a mark of 85, while Moyola has two wins and three third positioned finishes from his final seven runs and he was solely 3.5 lengths off the winner within the Bronze Cup too, regardless of coming off a 10-week layoff. He is down at school and will enhance for the run.
Instantaneous Knowledgeable backs up the competitiveness of this race…
…while current tempo scores solely rule Moyola out of the reckoning from my unique shortlist…
I feel I have to be with three of the highest 4 of that graphic and I feel it’ll be (3) Muscika, (4) Jonny Concrete & (6) Act of Violence forward of the presumably unfortunate Rousing Encore for the finale.
All of which provides me…
Leg 1: (2) Yaaser, (5) Tele Crimson & (7) Gracious Chief
Leg 2: (1) Blue Pinatubo & (4) Weissmuller
Leg 3: (1) Pol Roger, (4) Younger Hearth & (5) Soowaih
Leg 4: (3) Crimson Mirage, (4) Danzan & (5) Jenni
Leg 5: (1) Novak, (2) Sir Garfield & (5) Alpine Sierra
Leg 6: (3) Muscika, (4) Jonny Concrete & (6) Act of Violence
…and here is how I might play them, while attempting to remain near a nominal £20 complete stake…
Good Luck!Chris
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