There may very well be a race inside a race within the $60,000 NZB Airfreight Flying Stakes at Ashburton.
Republican Occasion
The Group 2 is historically a very powerful lead-up to the IRT New Zealand Cup at Addington on November 11, though this season comes with the key facet plot of which Australians will flip as much as problem the harness racing locals come Cup Day.
Leap To Fame’s tilt on the Cup appears to be like again on observe after his win at Melton on Saturday night time together with his coach Grant Dixon says he’s prone to make the journey and he was again into $2 favouritism with the TAB.
That apart to date this spring the New Zealand open class ranks have seen an influence shift, beginning with 5 or 6 pacers rated about the identical degree to Republican Occasion turning into the clear high canine.
A small canine, however high canine however.
He most likely already was after a surprisingly dominant six months between November final 12 months and Might this 12 months, successful the Invercargill and Auckland Cups then the Messenger and the Roy Purdon, all Group 1s.
Republican Occasion had all the time been a superb horse however by no means THE horse however he has strengthened as he has matured and that sturdiness and toughness that are the most effective qualities of the inventory of his champion sire Bettors Delight have kicked in.
That has additionally emboldened his younger driver Carter Dalgety.
“I discover after I drive him like a extremely good horse, that’s when he goes greatest,” says Dalgety, whose mother and father Cran and Chrissie prepare Republican Occasion.
“He has earned respect now as a result of after I transfer on him and he will get the entrance I preserve going at a superb tempo and meaning each different horse get their probability too.”
That might sum up at the moment’s 2400m standing begin as a result of if all the primary gamers step safely, it’s arduous to think about most of their drivers wouldn’t be eager to take a path on Republican Occasion.
The very last thing they need is an early 800m burn that sees them struggling late and getting a headache and a confidence dent heading into Cup week so together with his latest kind and respect earned, Republican Occasion’s $2.80 odds appear truthful.
There are completely rivals ok to beat him although, headed by the Hayden and Amanda Cullen-trained pair of We Stroll By Religion and Don’t Cease Dreaming.
Each have raced effectively this spring and Don’t Cease Dreaming specifically appears to be like to be on the enhance, having chased Republican Occasion house when he thrashed many of those within the Canterbury Basic final begin.
“Each of ours are in a extremely good place and Don’t Cease Dreaming is getting near his peak,” says Cullen.
“However I’d narrowly go for We Stroll By Religion as our greatest probability of the 2 on Monday.”
As robust because the Flying Stakes is most of the different races can even present tips to the Group 1s of Cup week.
The three-year-old tempo offers Market (R7, No.5) an opportunity to get again to successful kind however that gained’t be a gimme as Received The Candies has at the very least partially closed the hole between the pair.
The 2-year-old pacing fillies are nonetheless working themselves out so Race 4 appears to be like even and a case of whoever will get the most effective run ought to win.
The identical may very well be mentioned for the Nevele R Fillies warmth as some significantly good three-year-old fillies conflict and possibly the most effective of them Captains Mistress (R8, No.1) returns from a Queensland marketing campaign however is recent up with just one trial.
The Cullens have three in that race and Hayden suggests Arafura is their greatest probability however it’s a stacked race with loads of transferring elements.
The juvenile male pacers in Race 10 get a welcome break from the unbeaten (and possibly unbeatable) Jumal and Cullen says their favorite Zeus Lightning is able to win however his draw will make issues fascinating.
The 2 main trotting races at the moment seem a bit of clearer with Muscle Mountain the standout within the Flying Dash (R9, No.2) which he’s attempting to win for the fourth time versus final season’s victor Guess N Win, who could also be deprived by each the draw and a scarcity of latest racing.
There may be little doubt Meant To Be (R6, No.12) is the most effective horse within the three-year-old trot however he’s on the unruly over 1700m with some pace inside him from Ya Ceremony Darl, Habibti Pat (awkwardly drawn) and Tarragindi if the large northerner can roll excessive of them it will likely be an enormous pointer to what lies forward.
For full race entries, click on right here
by Michael Guerin, for Harness Racing New Zealand














