The $300,000, Grade 3 Chilukki Stakes Offered by Resolute Racing at Churchill Downs is the third race on the monitor’s Nov. 15 card, which additionally options the twenty seventh operating of the Claiming Crown in races 4 by way of 11. A subject of seven fillies and mares are set to line up for the Chilukki, contested at one mile on the dust. It’s a balanced group that blends confirmed graded stakes performers with rising skills.
Impel, certainly one of two entrants for coach Brad Cox, will begin from the within publish place with Florent Geroux within the irons. Geroux rode the High quality Street filly to a a stakes win final summer season at Ellis Park. Shred the Gnar is probably the most calmly raced filly within the subject and makes her first begin since a dominant seven-length victory in an allowance non-obligatory claiming race at Churchill Downs on Longines Kentucky Oaks Day, the place she earned a 104 Equibase Pace Determine. The daughter of Into Mischief shall be making her first begin towards graded stakes firm. The second Brad Cox trainee, Literate, drew publish 3 with high jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard for the primary time since final December. Literate had been primarily based at Woodbine and shall be making her first begin since becoming a member of the Cox barn. Runaway Diva ships in from the northeast, having made her final three begins at Colonial Downs, Laurel Park and Delaware Park. The 4-year-old Runhappy filly makes her Churchill Downs debut for coach Michelle Hemingway. Zadorsky is not any stranger to Churchill Downs, ending first twice and third twice in six profession begins beneath the Twin Spires for coach Whit Beckman. One Magic Philly drew publish 6 for what shall be her second begin on the Kentucky circuit. The daughter of Good Magic enters recent off a pointy victory in an allowance non-obligatory claiming race at Keeneland in October following the coach swap to Brendan Walsh. Ragtime, the 8-5 morning-line favourite, is a Godolphin homebred skilled by of Corridor of Famer Invoice Mott. She may have blinkers added for the primary time since her runner-up end within the Grade 1 Check Stakes Offered by Ticketmaster two begins again at Saratoga in August.
Evaluation and Important Contenders:
One Magic Philly is the category of the race, rating first in each common class (99) and common velocity (98). In her allowance non-obligatory claimer victory at Keeneland going 6 ½ furlongs, One Magic Philly gained by a size over Hillerito, who got here again to win the Dream Supreme Stakes final weekend at Churchill in her subsequent begin. One Magic Philly was beforehand primarily based in southern California, operating in dust sprints for coach Phil D’Amato and successful the 2024 Grade 3 Chillingworth Stakes at Santa Anita Park. After her Chillingworth victory, One Magic Philly ran within the 2024 Grade 1 PNC Financial institution Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Dash, the place she completed sixth by simply 2 ¾ lengths and earned a career-best (and greatest on this subject) 106 Equibase Pace Determine. The Good Magic filly was winless in her first 4 begins after the Breeders’ Cup, the final of these coming in September the place she completed second to Splendora within the Tranquility Stakes at Del Mar. We simply noticed Splendora dominate the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Dash by 4 ¾ lengths a few weeks in the past. After that race, One Magic Philly switched to the Brendan Walsh secure and gained the abovementioned race at Keeneland in October. This filly has run towards some extremely robust firm all through her profession and has proven the power to rebound and win towards a powerful subject. She brings grit and willpower to each race and deserves a lot respect on this race particularly given how properly she has been working over the Churchill dust. Her 3-1 morning line presents stable worth, notably with all eyes on Ragtime. She shall be stretching out to a mile; nonetheless she does have expertise at that distance, having completed second within the beforehand mentioned Tranquility Stakes held round two turns. With the additional advantage of a one-turn mile chute at Churchill, the stretchout ought to pose little downside to One Magic Philly as she groups up with jockey Tyler Gaffalione for the primary time.
Ragtime appears robust in right here as she comes off a third-place end by only a half-length final outing within the Grade 2 Lexus Raven Run Stakes at Keeneland the place she was useless final by 6 ¾ lengths on the second level of name and rallied late on the skin to narrowly miss. The daughter of Union Rags has by no means completed off the board and gained her first two profession begins by a mixed eight lengths. Ragtime is extremely constant as properly, posting a 99 Equibase Pace Determine in her final three consecutive begins, all in graded stakes races. After an ideal starting to her profession, she went on to run second within the Check Stakes, getting caught on the finish to complete runner-up by a neck. In her penultimate begin, she broke final out of the gate and break up horses down the stretch to win the Grade 3 Dogwood Stakes Offered by Resolute Racing in spectacular style in her one and solely begin at Churchill Downs. This 3-year-old filly additionally holds the very best late tempo score of a 118.0, greater than eight factors greater than anybody else on this subject. Common rider Junior Alvarado has been aboard for all 5 of her profession begins and retains the mount for Invoice Mott, and this duo has gained at a powerful 30% clip at Churchill Downs in all races during the last three years. Mott’s report with Godolphin runners in graded stakes is much more exceptional, successful at 40% from 53 begins over the previous 4 years. The swap again to blinkers for this race provides one other layer of intrigue. Ragtime wore them in her first three begins however ran with out them in each the Dogwood and Raven Run. Traditionally, Invoice Mott has gained at 19% over the previous 5 years with horses switching to blinkers. The numbers are all pointing to Ragtime and this filly will little doubt run a fantastic race. She is stretching out to this mile distance for the primary time since operating all her begins at seven furlongs on dust; nonetheless, a one-furlong stretchout in a one flip mile is just not a priority for this gifted filly.
Shred the Gnar, the second morning-line alternative at 5-2 odds, enters the Chilukki as the largest wild card within the subject. She started her profession in February at Gulfstream Park, ending a detailed second by a neck in a dust dash earlier than stretching out to a mile in her subsequent begin and cruising gate-to-wire to win by 6 ½ lengths, bettering her Equibase determine from an 86 to a 93. In her most up-to-date outing on Could 2, the Into Mischief filly delivered one other dominant efficiency, drawing off by seven lengths in an allowance non-obligatory claimer at Churchill Downs going 1 1/16 miles on the dust. Shred the Gnar earned a career-best 104 determine in that race, which is the very best last-out determine on this subject. Nevertheless, the filly has not raced since that effort and was a vet scratch forward of the Grade 1 DK Horse Acorn Stakes in June, which provides a component of uncertainty. Coach Brian Lynch has gained with 14% (3-for-22) of horses getting back from layoffs of 180 days or extra on dust. Over the previous 12 months, horses returning in graded-stakes dust routes off layoffs of 90 or extra days have gained at simply 16% from 86 begins. Whereas Shred the Gnar’s expertise is plain, returning as a 3-year-old from an extended layoff in a graded stakes dust route is a demanding problem. Nonetheless, she is 1-for-1 at Churchill at this distance and has gained her final two begins by a mixed 13 ½ lengths. On paper, she matches on capability and figures, however with two graded stakes winners drawn to her exterior, this shall be a major check of each class and conditioning. Luis Saez has been aboard Shred the Gnar for all three of her begins and can experience Saturday.
The remainder of the sphere, with their greatest Equibase Pace Determine in comparable races, is Impel (98), Literate (98), Runaway Diva (91), and Zadorsky (98).
Win Contenders in Choice Order:
One Magic Philly
Ragtime
Shred the Gnar
